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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" article-type="other" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Tumors of female reproductive system</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">Tumors of female reproductive system</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Опухоли женской репродуктивной системы</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="print">1994-4098</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">1999-8627</issn><publisher><publisher-name xml:lang="en">Publishing House ABV Press</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">436</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17650/1994-4098-2015-11-2-59-67</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>MAMMOLOGY. ORIGINAL ARTICLE</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>МАММОЛОГИЯ. ОРИГИНАЛЬНАЯ СТАТЬЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject></subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title xml:lang="en">Use of a synthesized mathematical model to describe the probability of curing early-stage breast cancer</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Применение синтезированной математической модели для описания вероятности излечения ранних стадий рака молочной железы</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Klepper</surname><given-names>L. Ya.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Клеппер</surname><given-names>Л. Я.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><email>klepper@m9com.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Gladilina</surname><given-names>I. A.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Гладилина</surname><given-names>И. А.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Ushkova</surname><given-names>V. L.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ушкова</surname><given-names>В. Л.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Kozlov</surname><given-names>O. V.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Козлов</surname><given-names>О. В.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Vysotskaya</surname><given-names>I. V.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Высоцкая</surname><given-names>И. В.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">ФГБУН «Центральный экономико-математический институт» РАН</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff2"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">47 Nakhimovskiy Prospect, Moscow, 117418, Russia</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Россия, 117418, Москва, Нахимовский проспект, 47</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff3"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">N.N. Blokhin Russian Cancer Research Center</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">ФГБНУ «РОНЦ им. Н. Н. Блохина»</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff4"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">23 Kashirskoe Shosse, Moscow, 115478, Russia</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Россия, 115478, Москва, Каширское шоссе, 23</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff5"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University, Ministry of Health of Russia</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">ГБОУ ВПО «Первый Московский государственный медицинский университет им. И. М. Сеченова» Минздрава России, Россия, 119991, Москва, ул. Большая Пироговская, 2, стр. 4</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff id="aff6"><institution>2 Bldg. 4 Bolshaya Pirogovskaya St., Moscow, 119991, Russia</institution></aff><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2015-07-21" publication-format="electronic"><day>21</day><month>07</month><year>2015</year></pub-date><volume>11</volume><issue>2</issue><issue-title xml:lang="en"/><issue-title xml:lang="ru"/><fpage>59</fpage><lpage>67</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2015-07-21"><day>21</day><month>07</month><year>2015</year></date><date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2015-07-21"><day>21</day><month>07</month><year>2015</year></date></history><permissions><ali:free_to_read xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"/></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://ojrs.abvpress.ru/ojrs/article/view/436">https://ojrs.abvpress.ru/ojrs/article/view/436</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Breast cancer (ВС) is a common malignant disease of the female reproductive system. Currently we have many treatment strategies given location depending on the clinical data. Radiation therapy is an important component in a comprehensive program of treatment for ВС. Despite the fact that often use a single dose fractionation regime 1.8–2 Gy daily fractions to a total of 50 Gy in 5 weeks, do not run out to try to find new modes of fractionation. According to published research results hypofractionated regimes, we can conclude that the approaches to the value of the dose per fraction,the number of fractions and the time of treatment differ. Dose per fraction ranged from 2.66 to 3.2 Gy, and more recently have been tested modes with a single dose of 6 Gy. Empirical data from these studies are important, but must also be aware of the possibility of applying mathematical methods for computing the probability of cure of the tumor and the occurrence of radiation complications.It is necessary for an individual approach to each patient, picking up for some clinical cases the optimal mode of fractionation. In addition, the search continues and improvement fractionation regimes, and the results of clinical trials can tell a lot about how good the chosen model. In work the opportunity of application of the synthesized mathematical model (SM model), intended for description of NTCP, to the description of probability of local treatment of early stages of the ВС.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="ru"><p>Рак молочной железы (РМЖ) является часто встречаемым онкологическим заболеванием женской репродуктивной системы.В настоящее время существует много стратегий лечения данной патологии в зависимости от клинических данных. Лучевая терапия является важным компонентом в комплексной программе лечения больных РМЖ. Несмотря на то что зачастую используют режим фракционирования разовой очаговой дозой (РОД) 1,8–2 Гр ежедневно до суммарной очаговой дозы 50 Гр за 5 нед, не иссякают попытки поиска новых режимов фракционирования. По опубликованным результатам исследований гипофракционированных режимов мы можем сделать вывод о том, что величина дозы за фракцию, количество фракций и время лечения различаются. Дозы за фракцию колеблются от 2,66 до 3,2 Гр, а в последнее время были опробованы режимы с РОД 6 Гр. Эмпирические данные этих исследований важны, но также необходимо помнить о возможности применения математических методов для просчета вероятности излечения опухоли и возникновения лучевых осложнений. Это необходимо для индивидуального подхода к каждому пациенту, подбора для некоторых клинических случаев оптимального режима фракционирования. Кроме того, продолжается поиск и совершенствование режимов фракционирования, и результаты клинических исследований могут многое сказать об удачности выбранной нами модели. В работе рассматривается возможность применения синтезированной математической модели, предназначенной для описания вероятности возникновения лучевых осложнений в нормальных органах и тканях, к описанию вероятности локального излеченияранней стадии РМЖ.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>radiotherapy</kwd><kwd>radiobiology</kwd><kwd>mathematical simulation</kwd><kwd>teletherapy</kwd><kwd>breast cancer</kwd><kwd>late radiation injuries</kwd><kwd>acute reactions</kwd><kwd>linearquadratic model</kwd><kwd>risk for radiation complications</kwd><kwd>tumor cure probability</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>лучевая терапия</kwd><kwd>радиобиология</kwd><kwd>математическое моделирование</kwd><kwd>дистанционная лучевая терапия</kwd><kwd>рак молочной железы</kwd><kwd>поздние лучевые повреждения</kwd><kwd>острые реакции</kwd><kwd>линейно-квадратичная модель</kwd><kwd>вероятность возникновения лучевых осложнений</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group/></article-meta></front><body></body><back><ref-list><ref id="B1"><label>1.</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">1. 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